The Internet is making the business world over, and one of its
greatest impacts is in unifying many countries' markets. It has
become as easy to sell halfway across the world as it is to sell
across the street. Indeed, the world has been shrunk to a very
small size... and placed in the monitor in front of your PC.
Many people are seeing the logic in dealing with the global
market as a unified market, in the same way as Europe saw the
need for breaking down country boundaries in the last few
decades, and formed the European Union.
The drive for globalization is being promoted through more free
trade, more Internet commerce, more networking of schools,
communities and business, more email, so that we can ultimately
have global integration 24 hours a day, across 24 time-zones and
into cyberspace. According to a recent survey, globalization has
become the top priority for 80% of American CEOs. If your
company has any chance of having a competitor from another
country, you have no choice but to take globalization seriously.
Very seriously... before your competitor does.
The best explanation of how the Internet and globalization
intertwine to give a backdrop for today's world is to be found in
Thomas Friedman's book, "The Lexus and the Olive Tree". (Friedman is a long-
time correspondent of the New York Times). Friedman starts his
book by showing that the current movement towards globalization
is an extension of an earlier era of globalization that ended
with World War I. Great Britain was the hub of globalization at
that time:
"...with the invention of the steamship, telegraph, railroad and
eventually telephone, it is safe to say that this first era of
globalization before World War I shrank the world from a size
'large' to a size 'medium'. Now, we have the next round of
globalization, thanks to the Internet, starting in the early
'90s. The big difference being the intensity of our current
globalization, because vast numbers of people have access to the
information and technology to become a player (unlike
Globalization I)." (p. 388)
The basic point of Friedman's book is that, since the fall of the
Berlin Wall in 1989, the world's modus vivendi is no longer
shaped by the tension between East and West, but rather by what
he calls the "Electronic Herd".
"The Electronic Herd is made up of all the faceless stock, bond
and currency trades sitting behind computer screens all over the
globe, moving their money around from mutual funds to pension
funds to emerging market funds, or trading on the Internet from
their basements. And it also consists of the big multinational
corporations who now spread their factories around the world,
constantly shifting them to the most efficient, low-cost
producers. This herd has grown exponentially thanks to the
democratizations of finance, technology and information -- so
much so that today it is beginning to replace governments as the
primary source of capital for both companies and countries to
grow. Indeed, as countries increasingly have to run balanced
budgets to fit into the Golden Straitjacket, their economies
become ever more dependent on the Electronic Herd for growth
capital. So to thrive in today's globalization system a country
not only has to put on the Golden Straightjacket, it has to join
this Electronic Herd. The Electronic Herd loves the Golden
Straitjacket, because it embodies all the liberal, free-market
rules the herd wants to see in a country. Those countries that
put on the Golden Straitjacket and keep it on are rewarded by the
herd with investment capital. Those that don't put it on are
disciplined by the herd -- either by the herd avoiding or
withdrawing its money from their country... This interaction
among the Electronic Herd, nation-states and the Golden
Straightjacket is at the center of today's globalization
system." (p. 109-110)
Countries of every shape and color are changing fast. Even
third-world countries are gradually upgrading their
infrastructure and even harnessing the Internet. For example,
many Muslims are using the Net today to state their case. The
Internet allows many budding entrepreneurs in poorer countries
the opportunity to develop economically in ways that would have
never been available to them if they were not wired. The
Internet simply puts them in touch with opportunities and
resources that they have never had before.
Business has expanded the notion of country markets into what
Friedman calls "Super Markets", i.e. globalized versions of
markets that used to be limited to one country or continent. The
interaction between the Electronic Herd and the Super Markets is
at the center of today's globalization system. If anything, the
Internet has become the planetary nervous system for the global
economy. Connectivity is the central issue of globalization.
Before the Internet became popular, the flow of funds that make
up business transactions and investment was only for large
companies (or countries). Now this flow of funds has come down
into small and medium companies and even into the home, as
numerous articles in magazines testify (across North America and
Europe). The Electronic Herd has now descended even into the
public.
According to Friedman, no one has more of a choice about the
primal rule of the Herd than over death or taxes, as the joke
goes -- the Herd determines the success or failure of a country
or company... and it works already on a global level, online. A
world where we will all be able to be online all the time is
shaping up, and this networked world has become the trunk of the
tree for a new online world order. Ignore it at your peril.
Swim or sink.
Kenneth Lay, CEO of Enron (top B2B portal) says "There are strong
advantages to being the first mover in these sorts of global
markets. When you are first, you get scale very quickly, and with
that comes economies that lower your transaction costs... it's
pretty much a winner-take-all environment. The early entrants
into these markets will in large part determine how they are
shaped. And once an entity establishes a strong market position
in this kind of global market, it is awful tough to overtake
them." (Friedman, p. 387)
This is indeed what American companies are finding now that they
are moving into Europe: it's too late to be market leader now --
they waited too long. (According to a report from the marketing
research company International Data Corporation (IDC), American
businesses are missing the boat in the international explosion of
e-commerce. 70% of American e-commerce Websites sell less than
10% outside the U.S. --
http://www.galaxie.fr/news/2000053120.shtml).
European companies in the same market sectors are already well
entrenched in these sectors. eBay will have a very tough time
surpassing QXL in the online auction business in Europe, where
QXL is leader. Amazon has an uphill battle against the FNAC in
France for selling books and CDs. The lesson is to expand into
international markets fast and take market share as quickly as
possible.
"John Chambers of Cisco likes to say that the companies and
countries who will thrive in this Internet economy are those who
will grasp its importance first, and get wired before the rest of
the world realizes that they have to change. If you do that
faster than your competitors, says Chambers, there's only thing
you'll have to say to them: 'Game over'." (p. 199)
The conclusion is that there is no way to avoid plugging in to
the new online world order, as long as a business (or individual)
wants to be successful and grow. And there is no sense in
resisting tendencies this massive. Recently there was more
fighting against globalization in the streets (in Prague, this
time). There's no sense in fighting against either globalization
or the Internet. They're coming, whether you want it or not. To
be against either is like being "against the sunrise" -- you know
the sun will be coming every day, there's not much you can do
about it, and you learn to live with it. The real issue is to
learn to use globalization to your advantage. Companies need to
learn how to mobilize global clients through the Net. It isn't
as hard as it looks, but a global perspective is definitely needed.
Oct., 2000
Written by Bill Dunlap, Managing Director
Global Reach
Tel./fax: 1/415/680-2423 (U.S.) or 888/942-6426 (toll-free)
+331/5301-0741 (Europe)
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